Risk
UBS’s risk density set to increase after Credit Suisse takeover
Rescued bank’s RWA-to-exposure ratio rose at faster clip prior to collapse
First Republic taps Fed facilities in effort to plug funding hole
Discount window and BTFP provide temporary relief as deposits slump $72bn in Q1
US banks report negative NII growth amid rising rates
Goldman, KeyCorp and Charles Schwab worst hit in Q1 as funding costs sap income growth
Locational arbitrage strategies for Shanghai crude futures
The authors investigate crude oil futures introduced on the Shanghai International Energy Exchange in March 2018 and the locational trading strategies they can provide and put forward an example of locational arbitrage hedged against foreign risk.
Goldman’s sale of Marcus drives record PCL release
Partial disposal of retail arm costs bank $470 million, but nets first release into income since Q2 2021
Schwab turns to costly FHLB advances as deposits drop
Bank draws $45.6 billion in facilities carrying four times the interest rate paid on deposits
US banks seize chance to transfer securities from HTM to AFS
Wells Fargo, JP Morgan and Citi reclassify $34bn following new hedge accounting treatment
For 11 US regionals, capital adequacy hinges on AOCI waiver
A repeal of the 2019 provision would hit KeyCorp and Charles Schwab the most
Lending via Fed’s BTFP overtakes discount window
Emergency facility extended $79bn last week, $10bn more than central bank’s traditional credit lending tool
First Republic burned through short-term investments in 2022
Cash and securities maturing within a year went from over- to undermatching short-term funding liabilities
The Catch-22 of US banks’ liquidity buffers
US banks are using held-to-maturity bonds to underpin liquidity adequacy, grating against accounting guidance. What happens if they’re forced to sell?
Initial margin at OCC declined over Q4
Calmer markets triggered downward revision as requirements drop $30bn
US banks vulnerable to losses if HTM securities need to be sold
Overall mark-to-market value $300bn lower than amortised cost across 30 banks
Revealed: where banks are (literally) warehousing their swaps
As derivatives notional grows, dealers experiment with novel storage solutions
A theory for combinations of risk measures
This paper investigates combinations of risk measures under no restrictive assumption on the set of alternatives, obtaining results regarding the preservation of properties and acceptance sets for these combinations of risk measures.
First Citizens closer to tighter rules after SVB deal
With assets more than doubling to $219bn, acquisitive bank flirts with category III designation
ING’s Russia loans sour five times faster than UniCredit’s
Risk density of Dutch bank’s Russia portfolio soars from 54% to 229% during 2022
HTM securities hit $2.5trn at US banks in 2022
BofA, First Foundation and Wells Fargo reported largest share of HTM to total securities behind SVB
Before collapse, Credit Suisse projected lowest cash outflows since 2018
Customers were expected to withdraw just $91bn in a 30-day stress period despite heavy outflows going into 2023
Credit Suisse’s funding disclosures raise questions
The bank reported $141 billion of “other exposures” in NSFR at the end of 2022
At regional US banks, BTFP-eligible securities top $300bn
Assets classified as held-to-maturity made up less than 19% of aggregate securities portfolios in 2022
UBS takeover of Credit Suisse to trigger higher G-Sib surcharge
At 14.2%, UBS’s CET1 capital ratio is more than sufficient to absorb the deal
First Republic had just $11bn eligible for Fed’s new facility
The bank held nearly $20bn of municipal bonds, representing over 60% of its securities portfolio
Managerial connections and corporate risk-taking: evidence from the Great Recession
Using the the 2007-9 Great Recession as an example, the authors investigate the relationship between managers’ connections, corporate risk-taking and corporate performance during a period of crisis.