Inflation
2025 capital market expectations: slowing but not sinking
Monetary policy is the governor of the relationship between growth and inflation
Thames Water: a handy guide for worried counterparties
The UK’s largest water company – now junk-rated – has £1.3bn in swaps liabilities. Dealers ought to be safe, but face a host of headaches and questions
How steepener trades burned hedge funds, and what happened next
Delays to central bank rate cuts torpedo popular trade, causing funds to pull capital – to the chagrin of sell-side desks
Bank treasuries should help monitor hidden optionality – JPM exec
Risk Live: JP Morgan ALM structurer calls for greater treasury involvement in product design
Decoding the decoupling in US and eurozone inflation
ECB rates cut and Fed’s refusal to follow suit point to differing fundamentals in stateside and EU economies
How Argentina’s financial tango could become a dance of death
Central bank and government’s unholy alliance is storing up further trouble for economy
FX books bulge in quant investment field
Carry strategies attract bulk of interest; banks eye growth in volatility, intraday and emerging market replication
Decades of history says you can beat high inflation with quality
Factors such as momentum and value generally outperform the market irrespective of inflation, but new research suggests quality stocks are best when prices are rising rapidly
Choppy inflation may be the worst inflation
Investors can build strategies to suit fast-rising prices, or slow-rising prices. What trips them up is the inflation foxtrot: slow, slow, quick, quick, slow
FX options traders rethink vol drivers amid macro uncertainty
Market-makers believe more and more events will influence options pricing as political risk bubbles up during 2024
‘Brace, brace’: quants say soft landing is unlikely
Investors should prepare for sticky inflation and volatile asset prices as central banks grapple with turning rates cycle
IM requirements for interest rate swaps up $30bn in December
Latest figures from CME, Eurex and LCH show a trend reversal from previous six months
UK inflation swap basis set to widen on green energy push
Hedging of planned wind farms will make bilateral receiver swaps cheaper versus cleared, say traders
Trend following struggles to return to vogue
Macro outlook for trend appears to be favourable, but 2023’s performance flop gives would-be investors pause for thought
Undeterred, hedge funds bet on euro swap steepeners
Expected rate cuts and pension reforms are driving steepener flows, but large pension funds may not be finished hedging at the long end
Emerging lessons from the current credit risk cycle
Experts discuss the challenges of higher inflation and interest rates, the impact on defaults, innovations in credit risk modelling and predictions for 2024
Structured credit: the outlook for 2024
In this webinar produced by Risk.net in association with Numerix, experts discuss the risks, opportunities and outlook for structured credit markets in 2024
Tackling credit risk in turbulent times
Survey reveals Apac CROs’ top credit risk priorities
Mirfendereski joins MUFG as inflation head
Former HSBC inflation chief joins Japanese bank in London after study break
Interest rate and liquidity risk special report 2023
This special report explores the ongoing impact of higher interest rates on bank capital and liquidity, and the steps they are taking to shore up their liquidity risk management practices in the current environment.
BNP Paribas bolsters inflation desk with new hires
French bank takes on two traders, including a European inflation specialist