Truist
Five regional banks predict lower income from higher rates
IRRBB simulations show lending revenue shrinking as Fed policy gets tighter
US banks vulnerable to losses if HTM securities need to be sold
Overall mark-to-market value $300bn lower than amortised cost across 30 banks
HTM securities hit $2.5trn at US banks in 2022
BofA, First Foundation and Wells Fargo reported largest share of HTM to total securities behind SVB
US regional banks hold smaller proportion of high quality assets
Share of Level 1 assets at Capital One, Truist, US Bancorp lowest across US banks subject to LCR
At US banks, less than 50% of liquid assets classified as AFS
Goldman Sachs reported smallest proportion relative to HQLAs across US banks subject to LCR
Like SVB, five other US lenders saw negative NII growth in 2022
Ally, Customers, First Foundation, Morgan Stanley and PacWest were pressured by rising rates
US banks’ risk-free exposures keep falling
Assets with 0% risk-weighting lowest proportionally since Q1 2020, replaced by riskier exposures
US banks’ VAR breaches up 2.5x in 2022
‘Hypothetical’ one-day losses exceeded VAR on 55 occasions, as losing trading days prevail
Contrarian Goldman grew fair-value bond book in 2022
Held-to-maturity securities balloon, but bank also adds mark-to-market Treasuries as others curtail them
G-Sib rules can’t assess regional mergers – UST official
Steele calls for domestic framework to weigh risks from large second tier banks
At US banks, risk-free exposures hit lowest in two years
Just under a third of credit assets carried a 0% risk-weight in Q3
Top US banks set aside $6bn for credit losses in Q3
Quarterly provisions highest in two years
BNY Mellon, Schwab would benefit most from SLR relief
A repeat of the pandemic carve-out would boost average ratio across US banks by 45bp
TLAC rules no sweat for US regionals
Capital One and US Bancorp best placed to fund their balance sheets with long-term debt
PNC, Truist most reliant on tailored LCR requirements
Liquidity ratios would be below regulatory minimum without Fed's cap for regional US banks
Despite bond price crash, Capital One sticks with AFS book
Lender letting AFS book run its course as others seek shelter from interest rate storm
Fed ‘tailoring’ led to larger, less capitalised regional US banks
Lenders freed from toughest requirements in 2018 grew balance sheets but saw capital ratios slip
Credit Suisse goes off piste in latest DFAST
US unit of Swiss bank underestimated leverage hit in Fed stress test
Capital One changed SVAR window 24 times in Q1
Since 2020, the lender updated its chosen stress period dozens of times each quarter, far more frequently than peers
Danske, Deutsche and PNC pin SVAR to Covid-19
Most global banks continue to use the global financial crisis to stress-test their portfolios
PNC’s NPLs hit $2.8 billion post BBVA USA acquisition
BBVA USA add-on made up 31% of consolidated NPLs in Q2
Regional US banks became more systemically risky in 2020
US Bancorp, PNC disclosed an increased reliance on short-term wholesale funding over the year
Mid-sized US banks set aside less for credit losses in Q4
Aggregate provision for credit losses at Truist, Capital One, PNC and US Bancorp more than doubled in 2020
Regional banks, FBOs found second round of Fed tests tougher
DB, HSBC, PNC, US Bancorp and TD Group saw their peak-to-trough CET1 ratio depletion increase most