Managing Systemic Liquidity Risk: Systems and Early Warning Signals
Credit Models Past and Present
Credit Models: Looking to the Future
Predicting Annual Default Rates and Implications for Market Prices
An Ensemble Model for Recovery Value in Default
The Corporate Bond Credit Risk Premium
The Credit Default Swap Risk Premium
The Municipal Build America Bond Risk Premium
Predicting Bank Defaults
Beating Credit Benchmarks
Hedging the Credit Risk Premium
Managing Pension Fund Liabilities
Credit Cycle-dependent Stochastic Credit Spreads and Rating Category Transitions
Managing Systemic Liquidity Risk: Systems and Early Warning Signals
A defining feature of the financial crisis of 2007–08 was the inability of many financial institutions to roll over existing debt or to obtain short-term financing. Importantly, the inability to obtain financing negatively impacted global financial stability and macroeconomic performance. Many banks had exposure to common asset classes, and there was heavy reliance on the short-term funding of assets. Banks’ attempts to deal with these exposures under crisis spilled over to other markets and institutions, thereby creating a vicious cycle of losses and financial stress. Ultimately, central banks in major economies found it necessary to assume the role of the money market in providing liquidity amid mutual mistrust among financial institutions. The extent of the necessary governmental intervention is evidence of the underpricing of liquidity risk by both the private and public sectors.
The government injection of taxpayer funds into financial institutions to prevent a collapse of the US banking system has proven politically unpopular. This is reflected in the spate of legislation
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