Journal of Investment Strategies
ISSN:
2047-1238 (print)
2047-1246 (online)
Editor-in-chief: Ali Hirsa
Abstract
This study investigates international stock index arbitrage opportunities between seven blue-chip indexes in Asian, European and US time zones over a twenty-year time horizon. It finds that the associations between the indexes are strong enough to be exploited by traders. The success rates reach values of over 90%. Our numerical results show higher associations in down markets, confirming the contagion theory. We perform regression analyses and fit a vector autoregression (VAR) model, which confirms the results. In addition, we find strong correlation mean reversion, which may encourage pairs trading. We find no statistically significant evidence of a change in leadership or an increase in correlation over time.
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