Trend following’s bumper returns mask fading convexity
Research suggests strategy is no longer a reliable hedge against stock market crashes
Trend followers are enjoying their best returns ever, but the good times could be masking the strategy’s fading qualities as a tail-risk hedge, according to new research.
An index of leading trend-following strategies run by Societe Generale was up more than 26% year-to-date at the time of writing. And yet a study by $3.4 billion boutique quant firm Versor Investments suggests the strategy has lost its trademark positive convexity to equities over time – a finding that calls into question whether
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Investing
Man Group airs climate allocation tool for real-world decarbonisation
Compass is a guide for steering $200 trillion investment toward decarbonising high-emission industries
Neil Chriss sets out to codify the game theory of trading
The co-author of the benchmark Almgren-Chriss model has updated his thinking on market impact
Talking Heads 2024: All eyes on US equities
How the tech-driven S&P 500 surge has impacted thinking at five market participants
To liquidity and beyond: new funding strategies for UK pensions and insurance
Prompted by policy shifts and macro events, pension funds and insurance firms are seeking alternative solutions around funding and liquidity
Why the Basel III rollback won’t halt US risk transfer deals
New structures could free up reserves as well as regulatory capital, says lawyer who helped launch market
Beware the macro elephant that could stomp on stocks
Macro risks have the potential to shake equities more than investors might be anticipating
Should trend followers lower their horizons?
August’s volatility blip benefited hedge funds that use short-term trend signals
Are investors betting on Kamala or Donald? Neither
Hedge funds and others shun election-based trades and rely on existing hedges to guard against surprise market moves
