The Fed’s stress-test models are inaccurate. Something has to change
First step for US regulator to improve its bank loss forecasts would be to open up its models to public scrutiny, argue two banking industry advocates
Stress tests measure how banks perform during a series of economic scenarios. These scenarios are imaginary – but by a twist of fate, the US Federal Reserve’s 2020 stress test used a global market shock scenario that was similar to the actual shock that occurred in March 2020.
One startling statistic emerged from this inadvertent back-test. The Fed’s stress test projected that banks would suffer $83 billion in trading losses. In fact, banks made more than $43 billion in trading revenues in the
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Comment
UST repo clearing: considerations for ‘done-away’ implementation
Citi’s Mariam Rafi sets out the drivers for sponsored and agent clearing of Treasury repo and reverse repo
Op risk data: Macquarie mauled by securities mismarks
Also: Danske’s costliest branch, tedious times for TD, and WhatsApp won’t stop. Data by ORX News
Climate stress tests are cold comfort for banks
Flaws in regulators’ methodology for gauging financial impact of climate change undermine transition efforts, argues modelling expert
Op risk data: Shady loans robbing Reliance of $1.1bn
Also: H20’s less-than-liquid holdings, Ripple ripped for $125m, and more WhatsApp slaps expected. Data by ORX News
FX algo users change tack to navigate market doldrums
BestX data finds traders ditching TWAP in favour of more opportunistic execution styles
Op risk data: Payday lender Skytrail sees $1.4bn disappear
Also: Cartel claims cost European bond dealers dearly, plus oil price gouging and crypto cover-ups. Data by ORX News
For US Treasury troubles, treat the cause not the symptom
Regulatory alarm about hidden risk in the Treasury futures market misses the point, fund association execs write
Corporate ‘greenium’ reveals effect of ESG rules on returns
Analysis of sustainable products shows how SFDR has caused a shift in investor behaviour, writes economist
