Economics

Geopolitical futures: The politics of betting

Using markets to forecast political events may not be as strange an idea as it seemed in July, when a terrorism futures scheme collapsed. But there is still scepticism as to whether such an approach would be ethical or effective.

Preparation, quantification, implementation

While the South African Reserve Bank is in favour of Basel II, those tasked with preparing for the new capital accord are in no doubt that the risk quantification challenges presented by it are daunting.

Emerging adequacy

The Committee of Chief Risk Officers’ capital adequacy ‘emerging practice’ guidelines will, says the capital adequacy committee chair, evolve into a new regulatory body within a year. James Ockenden reports

Japanese banks: Turning up the heat

Japan's banks have faced a gruelling few months in the run-up to the fiscal year-end, with a plunge in equity prices putting severe pressure on capital ratios. But a further crisis may be just around the corner, writes Nick Sawyer.

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