Articles by Jay Zarnikau
Revenue analysis of spot and forward solar energy sales in Texas
The study uses Texas's wholesale electricity market data to forecast solar energy prices and analyze revenue forecasts for solar plants, finding that short-term solar power purchase agreements and relative levels of forward and spot energy prices…
Energy trading efficiency in ERCOT’s day-ahead and real-time electricity markets
This paper uses hourly prices to study energy trading efficiency in ERCOT's electricity markets and proposes means to improve trading efficiency and investment inventive.
Estimating marginal effects of key factors that influence wholesale electricity demand and price distributions in Texas via quantile variable selection methods
Using a large data set from the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, this study uses quantile regressions and attendant variable selection methods to choose the most important factors that influence demand and price distributions; subsequently, the…
Electricity market prices for day-ahead ancillary services and energy: Texas
This paper explores determinants of day-ahead market prices for ancillary services and energy in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT).
Zonal merit-order effects of wind generation development on day-ahead and real-time electricity market prices in Texas
This paper uses a regression-based approach to explore the impact of wind generation development on wholesale electricity prices in the ERCOT market.
Ex post payoffs of a tolling agreement for natural gas-fired generation in Texas
This paper explores the problem of insufficient investment incentives for natural gas-fired generation in the ERCOT.